Istra 1961 0-0 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.7
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.42 — our 38% vs market 34.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.9pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.09/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.84
-13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
14.5 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
3W-1D-2L
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 0.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
272 Passes 289
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
17.05.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
08.03.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-2 HT 2-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
11.01.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-3 HT 0-2 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 ARK
05.12.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 3-2 HT 1-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIRK
01.12.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-0 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
0-0
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.87 xG 0.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
256 Passes 374
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 5
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 and NK Varazdin fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 44% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 56%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.87 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.17 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?

Istra 1961 0-0 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 32%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NK Varazdin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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