Istra 1961 0-0 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
23%
2.88
Away
36%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.56
Over 2.5
54%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
31%
-8.3pp
36%
Away Win
24%
+12.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
60%
-13.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
40%
+13.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.36/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.17
+3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
18.5 Crosses 14.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
2W-3D-1L
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.93 xG 0.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
278 Passes 311
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
07.12.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
20.09.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
17.05.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
08.03.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-2 HT 2-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
11.01.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-3 HT 0-2 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 ARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
0-0
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.91 xG 1.74
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
497 Passes 160
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 and NK Varazdin fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 70% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 30%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.91 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Istra 1961 and 0.67 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?

Istra 1961 0-0 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 41%, draw 23%, NK Varazdin 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Istra 1961), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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