HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Hajduk Split — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
HNK Gorica 1-1 Hajduk Split — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica and Hajduk Split couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Hajduk Split at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 44% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 56%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.71 to 1.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for HNK Gorica and 2.33 for Hajduk Split.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split?
HNK Gorica 1-1 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 26%, draw 30%, Hajduk Split 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hajduk Split), BTTS No went the other way.