Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hajduk Split v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals
Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
2-1
HT 0-0
Hajduk Split
HIR
Hajduk Split 2-1 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics
Hajduk Split nicked a narrow win over HNK Gorica 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hajduk Split had 38% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 62%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.64 to 1.08 — on chances, HNK Gorica could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.83 for HNK Gorica.
What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?
Hajduk Split 2-1 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 55%, draw 26%, HNK Gorica 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.