Junior 1-2 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
21%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 30%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.23/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/0.60
+56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +116%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
1W-2D-3L
AWAY America de Cali
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.25
47% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 312
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2025 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
05.06.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 1-1 Junior Junior KOL
04.05.2025 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.03.2025 Junior Junior 2-2 HT 0-2 America de Cali America de Cali CSA
09.12.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
22.11.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
POST-MATCH Junior vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali edged past Junior 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Junior at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Junior and 1.00 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Junior vs America de Cali?

Junior 1-2 America de Cali in the Colombia - Cup on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Junior 48%, draw 31%, America de Cali 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Junior), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →