Junior 0-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Jun 2025

📅16/06/2025 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.67
Over 2.5
33%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.82
No
61%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.7pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
56%
+10.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
44%
-10.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.1pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.40/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.96
+15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
15.7 Crosses 12.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-2D-2L
AWAY America de Cali
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
280 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.06.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 1-1 Junior Junior KOL
04.05.2025 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.03.2025 Junior Junior 2-2 HT 0-2 America de Cali America de Cali CSA
09.12.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
22.11.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
28.10.2024 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
0-1
AWAY America de Cali
0.55 xG 1.81
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 29
0 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
183 Passes 507
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali squeezed past Junior 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 35% / 31% — and on the day America de Cali made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Junior had 31% of the ball to America de Cali's 69%, shots finished 10-29, expected goals 0.55 to 1.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold America de Cali's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Junior and 1.00 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Junior vs America de Cali?

Junior 0-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 16/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Junior 34%, draw 35%, America de Cali 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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