America de Cali 2-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +4%
1.38/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.10
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
16.0 Crosses 13.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Junior
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 0.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
269 Passes 312
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.03.2025 Junior Junior 2-2 HT 0-2 America de Cali America de Cali CSA
09.12.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
22.11.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
28.10.2024 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.04.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 4-1 HT 2-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
2-1
AWAY Junior
1.89 xG 2.77
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
315 Passes 154
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali nicked a narrow win over Junior 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, America de Cali had 63% of the ball to Junior's 37%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.89 to 2.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Junior.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for America de Cali and 1.17 for Junior.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Junior?

America de Cali 2-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 47%, draw 31%, Junior 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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