Cerro Porteno 1-0 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.34/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.08
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 3-4 HT 2-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
10.05.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-2 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
03.03.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
17.11.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-2 HT 1-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
01.09.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
23.05.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-0
AWAY Club Guarani
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno nicked a narrow win over Club Guarani 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 54% of the ball to Club Guarani's 46%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.17 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?

Cerro Porteno 1-0 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 51%, draw 25%, Club Guarani 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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