Club Guarani 3-4 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
35%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.39/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.28
+24% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-2 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
03.03.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
17.11.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-2 HT 1-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
01.09.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
23.05.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
02.03.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
3-4
AWAY Cerro Porteno
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno squeezed past Club Guarani 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Cerro Porteno made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Club Guarani had 56% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 44%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Club Guarani and 1.00 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Cerro Porteno?

Club Guarani 3-4 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 29%, draw 30%, Cerro Porteno 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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