One Knoxville 2-1 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
18%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
18%
Away Win
23%
-5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 26%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.39/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.61
-8% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.1 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.63 xG 0.90
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
461 Passes 287
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
31.07.2025 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
17.05.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-1 HT 1-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
07.09.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
17.03.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-2 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
01.10.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-1 HT 0-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
2-1
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.29 xG 1.59
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 10
346 Passes 233
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville edged past Charlotte Independence 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, One Knoxville had 56% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 44%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.29 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, One Knoxville had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for One Knoxville and 1.33 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?

One Knoxville 2-1 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 51%, draw 31%, Charlotte Independence 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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