PFC Beroe 1-2 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.68
Over
40%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.97
No
49%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
12%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna The Market 56%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
0.73 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.93
1.86 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.87
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
230 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 4-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
18.04.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
09.11.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
09.03.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 2-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
15.09.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
23.06.2017 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-2 HT 0-2 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
1-2
AWAY Cherno More Varna
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW PFC Beroe vs Cherno More Varna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cherno More Varna squeezed past PFC Beroe 2-1 on the road. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 50% to 50% in PFC Beroe's favour, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for PFC Beroe against 1.67 for Cherno More Varna.

PFC Beroe vs Cherno More Varna Result & Final Score

PFC Beroe 1-2 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PFC Beroe vs Cherno More Varna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 24%, draw 29%, Cherno More Varna 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
3 Dec 2025
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