CSKA Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.78
Over
49%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.07
No
54%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv The Market 19%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.46 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.09
0.89 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.83
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
12.04.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
02.11.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-2 HT 1-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
26.05.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
03.04.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
02.10.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
2-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

CSKA Sofia squeezed past Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, possession split 57% to 43% in CSKA Sofia's favour, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for CSKA Sofia against 1.00 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Result & Final Score

CSKA Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 60%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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