Exeter City 1-2 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.95
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.67
No
45%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.36
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.21
6+
6%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.97
1/2
4%
24.7
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
11%
6.94
X/2
16%
4.64
X/X
15%
5.01
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.84
2/X
5%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.7 — our 4% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Exeter City The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers The Market 49%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.83
1.29 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.30
Weak Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
224 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 73%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Exeter City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.86 xG 1.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 367
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
09.03.2024 Exeter City Exeter City 2-2 HT 0-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
25.11.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 7-0 HT 2-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
07.04.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
17.12.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 2-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
01.05.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Exeter City
1 - 2
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.41 xG 1.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
285 Passes 292
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bolton Wanderers edged past Exeter City 2-1 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Exeter City had 48% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 52%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.41 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Exeter City and 2.17 for Bolton Wanderers.

Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers Result & Final Score

Exeter City 1 - 2 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 28%, draw 25%, Bolton Wanderers 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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