FeralpiSalo 3-1 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.27
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.73
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +31%
1.47/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.40
-8% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Renate
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
05.03.2023 Renate Renate 1-4 HT 1-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
30.10.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-4 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
24.04.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
18.12.2021 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
29.03.2015 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
3-1
AWAY Renate
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo saw off Renate 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 55% of the ball to Renate's 45%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renate led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FeralpiSalo and 1.17 for Renate.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Renate?

FeralpiSalo 3-1 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 57%, draw 26%, Renate 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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