Pineto 1-0 Sestri Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.88/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.92
-32% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Sestri Levante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 0-0 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
05.04.2024 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 0-2 HT 0-1 Pineto Pineto İTC
03.12.2023 Pineto Pineto 1-0 HT 0-0 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
1-0
AWAY Sestri Levante
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Sestri Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto edged past Sestri Levante 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pineto as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Pineto had 46% of the ball to Sestri Levante's 54%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pineto had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pineto and 0.00 for Sestri Levante.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Sestri Levante?

Pineto 1-0 Sestri Levante in the Italy - Serie C on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Sestri Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pineto 42%, draw 24%, Sestri Levante 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pineto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pineto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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