Juventus II 1-0 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.7
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+7.1pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.24/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.23
+7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Casertana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.08.2024 Casertana Casertana 2-3 HT 2-2 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
18.05.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-3 HT 0-1 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
14.05.2024 Juventus II Juventus II 0-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus II
1-0
AWAY Casertana
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Juventus II vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus II nicked a narrow win over Casertana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juventus II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juventus II had 53% of the ball to Casertana's 47%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Juventus II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Juventus II and 1.33 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Juventus II vs Casertana?

Juventus II 1-0 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus II vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Juventus II 44%, draw 26%, Casertana 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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