Santa Clara 0-1 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
5.4
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
65%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.29
2-3 Goals
48%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.1
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
11.6
1/2
14%
31.5
1/X
5%
21.25
X/1
4%
11.9
X/2
22%
3.7
X/X
12%
4.33
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
29%
2.04
2/X
7%
18.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
16%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
65%
Away Win
59%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto EU Bookmakers 62%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
0.75/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.93
-48% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +27%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
211 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
13.2 Crosses 18.1
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Porto
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.36 xG 2.22
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
170 Passes 471
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Porto Porto 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
16.08.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-2 HT 0-2 Porto Porto POR
29.02.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-2 HT 1-0 Porto Porto POK
15.04.2023 Porto Porto 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
29.10.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
04.04.2022 Porto Porto 3-0 HT 2-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
0-1
AWAY Porto
0.26 xG 1.08
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
243 Passes 360
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
5 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Porto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto edged past Santa Clara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Santa Clara had 43% of the ball to Porto's 57%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.26 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santa Clara and 1.83 for Porto.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Porto?

Santa Clara 0-1 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 10%, draw 25%, Porto 65%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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