Lech Poznan 0-1 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.99
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.98
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.59
2-3
47%
1.76
4-5
25%
3.04
6+
6%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.74
1/2
2%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
16%
4.87
X/2
11%
7.24
X/X
16%
5.02
2/1
3%
23.1
2/2
15%
5.07
2/X
5%
13.3
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lech Poznan The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze The Market 32%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.74 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
1.24 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.66
Bad Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.58 xG 0.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
435 Passes 334
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.02.2026 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-1 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
02.08.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
06.12.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-1 HT 2-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
21.07.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
09.03.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
02.09.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
0 - 1
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gornik Zabrze edged past Lech Poznan 1-0 away from home.

A gentle 46% lean on Lech Poznan didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 66% to 34% in Lech Poznan's favour, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Lech Poznan against 0.67 for Gornik Zabrze.

Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Result & Final Score

Lech Poznan 0 - 1 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 46%, draw 26%, Gornik Zabrze 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POLK More Poland - Cup
4 Mar 2026
19:30 Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice Analysis →