Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-0 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.40/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.34
-16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2024 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 3-1 HT 3-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
02.03.2024 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
16.09.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
05.04.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
18.09.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-1 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
02.04.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen beat Fortuna Köln 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Rot-Weiss Oberhausen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Köln led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and 1.50 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Fortuna Köln?

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-0 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Oberhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 36%, draw 28%, Fortuna Köln 36%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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