NK Varazdin 0-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.48
Over 2.5
28%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.07
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
11%
5.61
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
72%
Under 2.5
64%
+8.1pp
28%
Over 2.5
36%
-8.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.2pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.09/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.35
-18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 71%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.4 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
2W-3D-1L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.46 xG 0.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
339 Passes 314
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-1 HT 1-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
14.11.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIRK
20.10.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
03.08.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
30.03.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-4 HT 1-2 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
15.12.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-3 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
0-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.50 xG 0.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
413 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Varazdin and HNK Gorica fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was NK Varazdin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 57% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 43%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.50 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.33 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?

NK Varazdin 0-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 42%, draw 27%, HNK Gorica 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NK Varazdin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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