Stranraer 1-1 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.0
Over
52%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.53
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.06
6+
6%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Stranraer The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton The Market 33%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.13 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.73
Bad Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5 Crosses
3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.03.2026 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-0 HT 2-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
20.12.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
27.09.2025 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-2 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
20.04.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
05.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 5-0 HT 4-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
24.02.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
REVIEW Stranraer vs Dumbarton
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Stranraer and Dumbarton with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 43% lean on Stranraer didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Stranraer against 1.00 for Dumbarton.

Stranraer vs Dumbarton Result & Final Score

Stranraer 1 - 1 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stranraer vs Dumbarton Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 43%, draw 28%, Dumbarton 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stranraer), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stranraer) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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