04/04/2026
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Sarriana vs Samano Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
31%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
73%
17%
Draw
17%
13%
Away Win
10%
51%
Under 2.5
41%
49%
Over 2.5
59%
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
56%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarriana v Samano — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sarriana
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Samano
EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-3%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-5%
/
-40%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
13
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
2
477 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
255 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.9
Sarriana vs Samano Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Sarriana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Samano
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
66%
Ball Possession
34%
16
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
7
6
Corners
5
0
Yellow Cards
5
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Sarriana vs Samano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sarriana cruised past Samano 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sarriana as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Sarriana vs Samano?
Sarriana 4-0 Samano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarriana vs Samano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sarriana win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Sarriana 70%, draw 17%, Samano 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarriana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Sarriana)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
4 Apr 2026