Fiorentina (K) 1-2 Juventus (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
34%
+11.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
41%
-12.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.92/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.77
+55% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
14.7 Crosses 27.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Juventus (K)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.92 xG 1.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
301 Passes 314
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2025 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
25.04.2025 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
15.03.2025 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
15.12.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
30.09.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
06.05.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
1-2
AWAY Juventus (K)
2.24 xG 1.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
296 Passes 267
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 26
28 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Juventus (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) squeezed past Fiorentina (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 52% of the ball to Juventus (K)'s 48%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.24 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fiorentina (K) and 1.83 for Juventus (K).

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 1-2 Juventus (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 45%, draw 26%, Juventus (K) 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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