Independiente Del Valle 2-0 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
70%
-2.8pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.76/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.55
-1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +6%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
425 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 72%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
22.8 Crosses 11.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Orense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.20 xG 0.80
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
399 Passes 203
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
18.10.2025 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
17.08.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-1 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
27.04.2025 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
01.12.2024 Orense Orense 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
03.06.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2-0
AWAY Orense
1.47 xG 0.11
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
523 Passes 240
92% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 6
28 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle beat Orense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 66% of the ball to Orense's 34%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 1.47 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.50 for Orense.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Orense?

Independiente Del Valle 2-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 67%, draw 20%, Orense 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ BTTS No
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