Jaro 0-1 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 27% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.4
1/2
7%
23.95
1/X
13%
12.75
X/1
8%
6.63
X/2
9%
5.22
X/X
11%
4.99
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
29%
3.04
2/X
5%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.40/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.23
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
23.6 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Lahti
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
104 Passes 372
46% Pass Accuracy 70%
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
23.10.2024 Jaro Jaro 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
18.10.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
02.08.2015 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 1-1 Jaro Jaro FİN
14.05.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
28.09.2014 Jaro Jaro 0-4 HT 0-3 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
0-1
AWAY FC Lahti
1.11 xG 0.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
430 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jaro vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti squeezed past Jaro 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jaro had 60% of the ball to FC Lahti's 40%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.11 to 0.29 — the balance of chances actually favoured Jaro.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Lahti led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jaro and 1.33 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of Jaro vs FC Lahti?

Jaro 0-1 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jaro 26%, draw 28%, FC Lahti 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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