Gnistan 1-5 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 Apr 2026

Gnistan
1-5 HT 1-2
Oulu
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.92
1/2
7%
23.95
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
15%
6.28
X/2
14%
5.58
X/X
9%
5.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
20%
3.27
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.17/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.21
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.1 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Oulu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 1.37
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 Passes 293
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 3-2 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
10.05.2025 Oulu Oulu 2-3 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
27.09.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
18.08.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-0 HT 2-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
11.05.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
17.10.2020 Gnistan Gnistan 1-2 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
1-5
AWAY Oulu
1.64 xG 1.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 2
325 Passes 311
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu ran out comfortable winners over Gnistan 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 21% / 41% — and on the day Oulu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Gnistan had 51% of the ball to Oulu's 49%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.64 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gnistan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gnistan and 1.17 for Oulu.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs Oulu?

Gnistan 1-5 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 39%, draw 21%, Oulu 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oulu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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