Ilves Tampere 1-3 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.72
1/2
11%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.1
X/1
12%
5.99
X/2
11%
5.86
X/X
14%
4.87
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
3.58
2/X
6%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
0.95/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.09
+9% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
13.0 Crosses 17.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
5W-1D-0L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
398 Passes 478
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2026 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
16.10.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
14.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-4 HT 0-4 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
14.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-3 HT 0-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
21.05.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
18.01.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-4 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
1-3
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.10 xG 0.82
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
431 Passes 487
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
34 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio got the better of Ilves Tampere 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; KuPS Kuopio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 49% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 51%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.10 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.00 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio?

Ilves Tampere 1-3 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 36%, draw 29%, KuPS Kuopio 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
4 Apr 2026
13:00 Inter Turku vs VPS Analysis →
15:00 HJK Helsinki vs SJK Seinajoki Analysis →
17:00 IFK Mariehamn vs TPS Turku Analysis →
17:00 Jaro vs FC Lahti Analysis →
19:00 Gnistan vs Oulu Analysis →