Coleraine FC 2-1 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.92
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.48
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.89
X/2
8%
6.07
X/X
14%
3.65
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
18%
4.86
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Larne FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
02.01.2026 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
25.11.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
10.08.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
12.04.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.03.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
10.11.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coleraine FC
2-1
AWAY Larne FC
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC edged past Larne FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Coleraine FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coleraine FC had 49% of the ball to Larne FC's 51%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.67 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Larne FC?

Coleraine FC 2-1 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 40%, draw 29%, Larne FC 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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