BFA 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 39%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.19/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.66
+53% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
0W-0D-3L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
20.01.2024 BFA BFA 2-3 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus HAZ
21.08.2022 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 5-1 HT 3-0 BFA BFA LIT1
15.07.2020 BFA BFA 1-2 HT 1-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITK
POST-MATCH BFA vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA and FK Dainava Alytus played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was BFA at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Dainava Alytus led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for BFA and 3.33 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of BFA vs FK Dainava Alytus?

BFA 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split BFA 45%, draw 22%, FK Dainava Alytus 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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