Tauras Taurage 2-0 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
15%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tauras Taurage win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
58%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
15%
Away Win
19%
-3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
2.28/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.00
+24% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tauras Taurage
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Garliava
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
24.08.2024 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 1-0 HT 0-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
30.03.2024 Garliava Garliava 0-0 HT 0-0 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
POST-MATCH Tauras Taurage vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tauras Taurage beat Garliava 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tauras Taurage as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tauras Taurage had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tauras Taurage and 0.00 for Garliava.

What was the final score of Tauras Taurage vs Garliava?

Tauras Taurage 2-0 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tauras Taurage vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tauras Taurage 60%, draw 25%, Garliava 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tauras Taurage), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
4 Apr 2026
14:00 Babrungas vs Neptüna Klaipeda Analysis →
14:00 Minija vs Ekranas Analysis →
15:00 BFA vs FK Dainava Alytus Analysis →
15:00 Lietava Jonava vs Kauno Zalgiris II Analysis →