Babrungas 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.97
Over 2.5
61%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.66
No
35%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
47%
-7.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
53%
+7.3pp
65%
BTTS Yes
56%
+8.6pp
35%
BTTS No
44%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.31/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.11
+56% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2025 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-0 HT 0-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
25.04.2025 Babrungas Babrungas 1-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
28.09.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 3-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
10.05.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
07.10.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 5-0 HT 5-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
19.05.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 2-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas nicked a narrow win over Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babrungas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Babrungas and 1.33 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Babrungas 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 43%, draw 23%, Neptüna Klaipeda 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
4 Apr 2026
14:00 Tauras Taurage vs Garliava Analysis →
14:00 Minija vs Ekranas Analysis →
15:00 BFA vs FK Dainava Alytus Analysis →
15:00 Lietava Jonava vs Kauno Zalgiris II Analysis →