Minija 2-1 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.44
No
45%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Minija win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-8.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.7pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+4.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
37%
+18.1pp
45%
BTTS No
63%
-18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
1.87/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.49
-15% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Ekranas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
22.08.2025 Ekranas Ekranas 3-0 HT 1-0 Minija Minija LIT1
26.04.2025 Minija Minija 1-3 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
24.08.2024 Minija Minija 0-0 HT 0-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
30.03.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 1-1 HT 0-1 Minija Minija LIT1
21.10.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 2-1 HT 1-1 Minija Minija LIT1
03.06.2023 Minija Minija 1-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija nicked a narrow win over Ekranas 2-1. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ekranas led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Minija and 1.67 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of Minija vs Ekranas?

Minija 2-1 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Minija 65%, draw 22%, Ekranas 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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