Lietava Jonava 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.82
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.81
No
39%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
51%
-12.3pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.7pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+10.1pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.54/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.75
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lietava Jonava
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 1-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
05.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
29.07.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 0-0 HT 0-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava beat Kauno Zalgiris II 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Lietava Jonava made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lietava Jonava and 0.67 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Lietava Jonava 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lietava Jonava win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 39%, draw 33%, Kauno Zalgiris II 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lietava Jonava), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lietava Jonava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
4 Apr 2026
14:00 Tauras Taurage vs Garliava Analysis →
14:00 Babrungas vs Neptüna Klaipeda Analysis →
14:00 Minija vs Ekranas Analysis →
15:00 BFA vs FK Dainava Alytus Analysis →