Puebla 1-1 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puebla EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.50/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.38
+8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.3 Crosses 21.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Juarez
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.72 xG 1.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
326 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 FC Juarez FC Juarez 4-4 HT 2-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
30.03.2025 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-0 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
28.09.2024 Puebla Puebla 2-3 HT 0-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
24.03.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 4-3 HT 1-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
26.08.2023 Puebla Puebla 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
01.04.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-2 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
1-1
AWAY FC Juarez
1.01 xG 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 9
276 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Puebla vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puebla and FC Juarez couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Puebla had 50% of the ball to FC Juarez's 50%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.01 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Juarez led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Puebla and 2.17 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Puebla vs FC Juarez?

Puebla 1-1 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puebla vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Juarez win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Puebla 37%, draw 26%, FC Juarez 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Juarez) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Juarez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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