Tijuana vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tijuana 1-0 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana squeezed past Tigres UANL 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Tigres UANL at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Tijuana had 41% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 59%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.40 to 1.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tigres UANL.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tijuana and 3.00 for Tigres UANL.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Tigres UANL?
Tijuana 1-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Tigres UANL?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 22%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS Yes went the other way.