Tijuana 3-0 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.86
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
6.74
X/2
9%
5.08
X/X
9%
4.56
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
21%
3.14
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · X/1 at 6.74 — our 18% vs market 11.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.37/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.92
+21% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
14.9 Crosses 21.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.93 xG 1.60
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
308 Passes 383
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
29.01.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-0 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
02.11.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 0-3 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
28.04.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-1 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
02.11.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
21.01.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
3-0
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.73 xG 1.16
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
219 Passes 473
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana swept aside Tigres UANL 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tijuana found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tijuana had 34% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 66%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.73 to 1.16 — on chances, Tigres UANL could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tijuana and 2.33 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs Tigres UANL?

Tijuana 3-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 37%, draw 24%, Tigres UANL 38%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Under 2.5
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