Monterrey 2-0 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
13%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
15%
5.78
X/2
10%
5.6
X/X
12%
4.41
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
14%
3.81
2/X
6%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.0 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.4pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -32%
1.31/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.09
+11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.8 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Club America
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
411 Passes 358
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 2-2 HT 2-0 Club America Club America MEK
17.04.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
16.12.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 1-1 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
13.12.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
28.10.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
04.02.2024 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
2-0
AWAY Club America
0.66 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
405 Passes 401
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey beat Club America 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Monterrey found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monterrey had 50% of the ball to Club America's 50%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.66 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monterrey and 1.33 for Club America.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Club America?

Monterrey 2-0 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 39%, draw 26%, Club America 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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