Gzira United 2-1 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.03
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
47%
4-5
25%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Gzira United The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions The Market 23%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.76 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
0.98 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.82
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2026 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 4-2 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MALTP
11.12.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 3-1 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
03.11.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 2-1 HT 2-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
28.04.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 0-2 HT 0-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
25.01.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 1-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
20.10.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
REVIEW Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gzira United edged past Naxxar Lions 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gzira United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gzira United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Gzira United against 1.50 for Naxxar Lions.

Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions Result & Final Score

Gzira United 2 - 1 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - FA Cup on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 57%, draw 22%, Naxxar Lions 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTAK More Malta - FA Cup
4 Apr 2026
18:30 Valletta vs Birkirkara Analysis →