Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gzira United v Naxxar Lions — Team-Based Signals
Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Naxxar Lions
MLTP
Gzira United 3-1 Naxxar Lions — Actual Match Statistics
Gzira United beat Naxxar Lions 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Gzira United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gzira United had 36% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 64%, shots finished 7-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gzira United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gzira United and 0.83 for Naxxar Lions.
What was the final score of Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions?
Gzira United 3-1 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 11/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 50%, draw 21%, Naxxar Lions 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.