Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-0 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.29
Over
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.48
No
41%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.38
2-3
40%
1.85
4-5
24%
2.71
6+
11%
7.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.69
1/2
9%
23.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
14%
6.12
X/2
17%
5.77
X/X
8%
5.46
2/1
7%
24.8
2/2
12%
3.36
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.5 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan The Market 43%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.51/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.25
+30% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
16.0 Crosses 18.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.95 xG 1.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
299 Passes 358
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-2 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
16.03.2025 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 HT 1-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
14.09.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 5-0 HT 2-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
17.02.2024 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 HT 0-2 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
24.10.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3-3 HT 2-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
27.05.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 1-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
0-0
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.04 xG 1.26
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
406 Passes 430
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lech Poznan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Jagiellonia Bialystok and Lech Poznan cancelled each other out in a 0-0. Neither side could find a way through.

A draw from a 41% / 21% / 38% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, Lech Poznan saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.04 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Jagiellonia Bialystok against 2.50 for Lech Poznan.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lech Poznan Result & Final Score

Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-0 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lech Poznan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 41%, draw 21%, Lech Poznan 38%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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