Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.67
Over
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.59
2-3
40%
1.7
4-5
21%
4.01
6+
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.87
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.57
X/2
10%
7.05
X/X
9%
4.16
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
13%
5.58
2/X
9%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz The Market 30%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -25%
1.34/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.41
-9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.0 Crosses 17.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.98 xG 0.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
406 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2025 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
24.05.2025 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
30.11.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-3 HT 1-2 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
27.04.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
29.10.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.04.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
1-1
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.13 xG 1.07
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
203 Passes 386
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Rakow Czestochowa vs Widzew Lodz
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rakow Czestochowa and Widzew Lodz finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

A gentle 46% lean on Rakow Czestochowa didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring. At 1.67 (~60%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

By the numbers, Widzew Lodz saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.13 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Rakow Czestochowa against 0.67 for Widzew Lodz.

Rakow Czestochowa vs Widzew Lodz Result & Final Score

Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rakow Czestochowa vs Widzew Lodz Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 46%, draw 25%, Widzew Lodz 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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