Gaziantep FK 1-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.99
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
14%
5.91
X/2
10%
5.41
X/X
11%
4.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
28.5
2/2
19%
3.48
2/X
10%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 42%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +2%
1.52/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.02
+19% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.2 Crosses 20.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
356 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2025 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
09.05.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
14.12.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
02.04.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-3 HT 0-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
11.11.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
29.10.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
1-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.92 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
429 Passes 276
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK and Alanyaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 58% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 42%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.92 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.50 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

Gaziantep FK 1-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 36%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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