Kasımpaşa 2-0 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.01
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
20%
4.92
X/2
11%
6.73
X/X
11%
4.47
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.88
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.61/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.45
+11% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
23.3 Crosses 19.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 Passes 279
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-2 HT 2-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
13.04.2025 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
08.11.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-2 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
03.04.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-2 HT 0-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
11.11.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-4 HT 1-3 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
19.04.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
2-0
AWAY Kayserispor
0.55 xG 0.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 10
229 Passes 413
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 12
7 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa beat Kayserispor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kasımpaşa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 38% of the ball to Kayserispor's 62%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 0.55 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.67 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?

Kasımpaşa 2-0 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 46%, draw 25%, Kayserispor 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kasımpaşa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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