Trabzonspor 2-1 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.33
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
2.8
6+ Goals
9%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.52
1/2
6%
22.65
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
13%
7.05
X/2
13%
5.3
X/X
11%
5.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
28.5
2/2
20%
2.9
2/X
11%
11.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.24/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.12
+49% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
21.3 Crosses 19.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Galatasaray
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.28 xG 2.08
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
243 Passes 336
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2026 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-1 HT 2-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSK
01.11.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
14.05.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TÜK
10.05.2025 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
16.12.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-3 HT 2-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
21.01.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-5 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
2-1
AWAY Galatasaray
0.87 xG 1.47
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
202 Passes 385
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 38
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor nicked a narrow win over Galatasaray 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Trabzonspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 36% of the ball to Galatasaray's 64%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.87 to 1.47 — on chances, Galatasaray could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Trabzonspor and 3.00 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

Trabzonspor 2-1 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 35%, draw 27%, Galatasaray 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Galatasaray), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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