San Martin San Juan 1-0 Guillermo Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.50/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.33
+9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Guillermo Brown
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-0 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
16.05.2023 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 2-1 HT 1-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
20.08.2022 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 4-1 HT 3-1 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
31.07.2021 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
21.03.2021 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
10.01.2021 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Guillermo Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan edged past Guillermo Brown 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had San Martin San Juan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Martin San Juan and 0.50 for Guillermo Brown.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Guillermo Brown?

San Martin San Juan 1-0 Guillermo Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Guillermo Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 49%, draw 27%, Guillermo Brown 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin San Juan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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