Treaty United 1-0 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.31/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.41
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wexford Youths
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.03.2026 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 3-2 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
17.10.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-2 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
23.06.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 0-0 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
21.04.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 2-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
14.03.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
13.09.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 4-1 HT 4-0 Treaty United Treaty United İRK
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United edged past Wexford Youths 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wexford Youths at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Treaty United and 1.67 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Wexford Youths?

Treaty United 1-0 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 29%, draw 30%, Wexford Youths 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✗ BTTS Yes
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