Longford Town 1-1 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
46%
1.7
4-5 Goals
14%
4.07
6+ Goals
7%
20.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 33% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.34/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.50
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2026 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
17.10.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
23.06.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
21.04.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
01.03.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
05.10.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town and Athlone Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Longford Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Longford Town and 1.33 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

Longford Town 1-1 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Longford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 39%, draw 32%, Athlone Town 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Longford Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Longford Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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