Athlone Town 2-0 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 35% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.4pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.45/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.19
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Longford Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.10.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
23.06.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
21.04.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
01.03.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
05.10.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
12.07.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town saw off Longford Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Athlone Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Longford Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Athlone Town and 1.50 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Athlone Town 2-0 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Longford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 32%, draw 34%, Longford Town 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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