Bray Wanderers 2-2 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.64
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 31% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.96/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.18
+38% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.09.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
15.08.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 3-1 HT 3-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İRK
04.08.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-2 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
30.05.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
21.03.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 5-0 HT 3-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
11.10.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers and Finn Harps shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bray Wanderers at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bray Wanderers and 2.50 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Bray Wanderers 2-2 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 51%, draw 24%, Finn Harps 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5
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