Cork City 4-2 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.32
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
7%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.45
6+ Goals
8%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
71%
+5.0pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.5pp
7%
Away Win
11%
-3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.92/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.18
-16% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Kerry
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2024 Kerry 1-4 HT 0-2 Cork City Cork City İR1
26.07.2024 Cork City Cork City 2-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
03.05.2024 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İR1
16.02.2024 Cork City Cork City 2-0 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
4-2
AWAY Kerry
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City saw off Kerry 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cork City had 68% of the ball to Kerry's 32%, shots finished 20-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cork City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Cork City and 0.25 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Kerry?

Cork City 4-2 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Cork City 76%, draw 17%, Kerry 7%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cork City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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